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on June 12 2018 08:24:35
For example, I want to see almost every device have a simple voice interface. By understanding a small vocabulary, and maybe using an image sensor to do gaze detection, we should be able to control almost anything in our environment without needing to reach it to press a button or use a phone app. I want to see a voice interface component that’s less than fifty cents that runs on a coin battery for a year, and I believe it’s very possible with the technology we have right now. |
on June 12 2018 09:43:26
I'm very pessimistic about the future of ML and AI in general. They're very reliant on human programming at the moment, and I don't see that changing for the foreseeable future.
What I want to see, is data aggregation and analysis. I have years of data regarding my physical activity, geographical whereabouts, sleep patterns, and various physical attributes, and I'm probably forgetting something, but why can't someone or something tell me something intelligent about this? The only thing these devices ever tell me is how the latest measurement relates to the previous measurement. Or maybe a summary of my week. Thanks, but I know this already. Show me long-time trends, or obscure patterns, insights that tell me something I didn't know already.
I'm also not a fan of voice interfaces. I feel awkward talking to my phone or my watch, even when I'm alone. Mostly because I can't talk naturally to it, and it gets foiled by ambient sounds and music. I'd rather see better programming and intelligence. My devices know what time it is, where I am, even which room I am in, and whether I am watching TV, on my computer, or lying in my bed. They also have ambient data, like temperature, light level, and the current outside weather. Imagine how much could be controlled without any interaction from me. I know a lot of this can be programmed by me, and it is, but you'd think an ML/AI could do this for me.
Back to my skepticism. Even when all this is controlled to perfection, how would it handle changes in my routine? How would it handle visitors, overnight or otherwise? Badly.
Let's get back to the state of ML/AI. Google is on the forefront of this, and have years of R&D and practical experience by, I imagine, hundreds of employees. One of their focus areas is (was?) spam. So why do I still get spam? Why do I get the occasional false positive, where a wanted mail ends in the spam folder? Not impressed.
Oh, your AI beat a human at a game with clearly defined rules? Not impressed.
Your AI can drive a car on well-marked and signed roads when the weather is fair? Not impressed. It has a better safety record that a shitty driver who is on the phone all the time? I should hope so, but still not impressed.
The singularity is coming to kill us all? LOL |
on June 12 2018 19:11:41
Yeah, I am in complete agreement. AI Winter seems to be upon us again.
We're pretty far from any real AI, and I seriously doubt the current AI research renaissance will lead to any singularity. You can do some nifty things with it - like this I found the other day:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnntrewH0xg&feature=youtu.be
But it is all pretty much unintelligent.
When I read this article, I thought that maybe AI Winter is here, but we might still get something out of it that will completely change the world - thousands of speech/vision recognizing robots in your home. |
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